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35 posts tagged with "trading"

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The Hidden Cost of Chain of Thought in Trading Systems

· 5 min read
Max Kaido
Architect

Chain of Thought (CoT) has emerged as a popular approach in the AI world, allowing models to "think through" problems step-by-step before providing answers. This methodology has shown impressive results across many domains - from solving math problems to dissecting complex reasoning tasks. However, our team discovered a painful truth when implementing CoT in quantitative trading systems: what works for general reasoning can actively undermine performance in highly specialized technical domains.

Optimal Model Selection for Trading Systems - Research Results

· 19 min read
Max Kaido
Architect

Following our previous investigation into the limitations of Chain of Thought reasoning for trading systems, we conducted extensive benchmarking to identify the optimal language models for structured trading analysis. This post presents our findings, detailed performance comparisons, and implementation recommendations based on rigorous testing.

When AI Learns to Be Mediocre: A Tale of Feedback Gone Wrong

· 3 min read
Max Kaido
Architect

The Discovery

It started with a simple observation: our fancy trading signal dashboard was showing 31,753 neutral signals, 0 sell signals, and a suspiciously uniform distribution. Something was clearly wrong with our "intelligent" signal generation system.

"That's odd," I thought, "the signals aren't diverse enough 🙂"

Little did I know I was about to uncover one of the most ironic implementations of machine learning I've ever seen.

Dynamic TP/SL Strategies Using Technical Analysis

· 6 min read
Max Kaido
Architect

Looking to move beyond rigid take-profit and stop-loss levels? This comprehensive guide reveals five battle-tested approaches to dynamic TP/SL calculation using technical analysis. Whether you're a systematic trader seeking to optimize risk management or a quant developer building automated systems, these strategies will help you adapt to changing market conditions while maintaining robust position management. From volatility-based adjustments to multi-timeframe confluence, discover how to leverage our technical analysis service for smarter trade exits.

Scaling Mercury: Trading System Review & Future Path

· 5 min read
Max Kaido
Architect

Introduction

Over the past month, Mercury has evolved into a fully functional market-sorting system, identifying profitable opportunities in both long and short directions. The system is now in a stage where evolutionary fine-tuning is the focus, with all components in place and tested. Despite some setbacks, including an Ubuntu upgrade distraction, the process has been mostly enjoyable, reinforcing confidence in the system's foundation.

Performance Analysis

Recent shadow portfolio results indicate that Mercury is consistently generating 4-5% daily returns with controlled risk. Key takeaways:

  • Consistent profitability: The system captures a variety of market movements, adapting dynamically to trends.
  • Directional balance: Long and short opportunities are evenly distributed, mitigating extreme market conditions.
  • Loss control: Future iterations will enforce proper stop-loss placement at the moment of position creation, ensuring that potential outlier losses remain within expected parameters.
  • Scalability potential: Despite minor inefficiencies in risk management in past test runs, the system remains adaptable and structured for growth.